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Avatar 3 Box Office Tracking Trails Way of Water


The opening weekend box office predictions for Avatar 3 have arrived.

20th Century Studios’ Avatar 3, also known as Avatar: Fire and Ash, arrives in United States theaters next month. Directed by James Cameron, the sci-fi fantasy sequel film once again sees Sam Worthington and Zoe Saldaña reprise their roles as Jake Sully and Neytiri.

What is the expected box office for Avatar 3 during its opening weekend?

According to Deadline, Avatar: Fire and Ash is projected to earn $110 million, or within the $100 million to $130 million range, during its opening weekend at the domestic box office.

“It’s behind the first tracking first choice numbers of Avatar: The Way of Water, which opened to $134.1M, and that’s just fine,” the article notes. “Note, unlike most Marvel Studios movies, Avatar movies are appointment viewing. Audiences seek out the best 3D, IMAX, and premium large-format seats. There are no Easter Eggs going on a la a Marvel movie, which require immediate viewing by fans…When we’re talking about the opening for Avatar: Fire and Ash, consider Avatar: Way of Water‘s domestic start essentially the ceiling in regards to a first weekend comp.”

The first Avatar movie made around $77 million during its opening weekend. It ended up making $2.9 billion in total, making it the highest-grossing film of all time. Avatar: The Way of Water, which is the third-highest-grossing movie of all time, finished its box office run at $2.3 billion.

In terms of 2025 movies, if Avatar: Fire and Ash makes $110 million during its opening weekend, it would rank behind A Minecraft Movie ($162 million), Lilo & Stitch ($146 million), Superman ($125 million), The Fantastic Four: First Steps ($117 million), and Wicked: For Good ($147 million). Jurassic World Rebirth opened on a Wednesday and made $147.8 million over the five-day weekend; however, its three-day Friday to Sunday total stands at $92 million.

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Avatar 3 will be released on December 19, 2025.

Originally reported by Brandon Schreur at SuperHeroHype.

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Sarah Parker
Sarah Parker is a research analyst and content contributor with a strong interest in business strategy, organizational behavior, and social development. With a background in sociology and public policy, she focuses on exploring the intersection between research and real-world application. Sarah regularly contributes articles that bridge academic insights and practical relevance, aiming to foster critical thinking and innovation across sectors.